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[PS] Expected Value
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\subtext{Basiert auf dem Skript von V. Tassion}
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\subtext{Basiert auf dem Skript von V. Tassion}
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\section{Wahrscheinlichkeitsräume}
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\section{Wahrscheinlichkeitsräume}
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\input{parts/00_intro.tex}
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\input{parts/00_intro.tex}
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\newpage
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\newpage
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\section{Zufallsvariablen}
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\section{Zufallsvariablen}
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\input{parts/01_variables.tex}
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\input{parts/01_variables.tex}
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\newpage
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\section{Erwartungswert}
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\input{parts/02_expectation.tex}
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\end{document}
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\end{document}
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\end{cases}
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\end{cases}
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$$
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$$
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\definition \textbf{Exponentialverteilung}
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\definition \textbf{Exponentialverteilung} $T \sim \text{exp}(\lambda)$
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$$
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f_T(x) = \begin{cases}
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\lambda e^{-\lambda x} & x \geq 0 \\
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0 & x < 0
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\end{cases}
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$$
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\subtext{$\lambda > 0$}
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\lemma \textbf{Eigenschaften von} $\text{exp}$
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\definition \textbf{Normalverteilung} $X \sim \mathcal{N}(m, \sigma^2)$
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$$
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f_X(x) = \frac{1}{ \sqrt{2\pi\sigma^2} } e^{ -\frac{(x-m)^2}{2\sigma^2} }
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$$
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\lemma \textbf{Eigenschaften von} $\mathcal{N}$
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\definition \textbf{Erwartungswert} (nicht-negativ)
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$$
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\E[X] = \int_{0}^{\infty} \biggl( 1-F_X(x) \biggr)\ dx
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$$
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\subtext{$X: \Sigma \to \R,\quad X(\omega) \geq 0\ \forall \omega \in \Omega$}
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{\scriptsize
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\remark $\E[X]$ kann unendlich sein
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}
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\theorem $\forall \omega \in \Omega: X(\omega) \geq 0 \implies \E[X] \geq 0$\\
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\subtext{Gleichheit: $\E[X] = 0 \iff X=0$, fast sicher}
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\definition \textbf{Erwartungswert}
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$$
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\E[X] = \E[X_+] - \E[X_-] \quad\text{falls}\quad \E[|X|]<\infty
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$$
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{\scriptsize
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\remark $X$ kein konst. Vorzeichen, nicht $\E[|X|] < \infty $: $\E[X]$ undefiniert
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}
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\subsection{Diskreter Erwartungswert}
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\theorem \textbf{Diskreter Erwartungswert}
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$$
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\E\bigl[ \phi(X) \bigr] = \sum_{w \in W} \phi(x) \cdot \P[X = x]
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$$
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\subtext{$X: \Omega \to \R,\quad W \cleq \N,\quad \phi: \R \to \R$}
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\begin{center}
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\begin{tabular}{l|l}
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$\text{Ber}(p)$ & $\E[X] = p$ \\
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$\text{Poisson}(\lambda)$ & $\E[X] = \lambda$ \\
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$\text{Bin}(n,p)$ & $\E[X] = n\cdot p$ \\
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$\mathbb{I}_A$ & $\E[\mathbb{I}_A] = \P[A]$ \\
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\end{tabular}
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\end{center}
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\subsection{Stetiger Erwartungswert}
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\definition \textbf{Erwartungswert} (stetig)
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$$
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\E[X] = \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} x \cdot f(x)\ dx
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$$
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\subtext{$X: \Omega \to \R,\quad f(x) \text{ Dichtefunktion}$}
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@@ -59,6 +59,7 @@
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\def \P{\mathbb{P}}
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\def \P{\mathbb{P}}
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\def \F{\mathcal{F}}
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\def \F{\mathcal{F}}
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\def \E{\mathbb{E}}
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% Titles
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% Titles
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\def \definition{\colorbox{lightgray}{Def} }
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\def \definition{\colorbox{lightgray}{Def} }
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